Hakvin Vosteen

Working Papers, Preprints & Essays · Independent Research

The corpus rewrites folk-psychological phenomena — burnout, ghosting, ADHD, personality, virality — as equilibria of mechanisms with thresholds. Architecture beats population: replace the users while holding the mechanism fixed and the equilibrium is preserved.

Research Program Draft

The corpus rewrites folk-psychological phenomena as equilibria of mechanisms with thresholds. Two questions sit underneath that method.

Why this scale

Classical science has measured the scales below the human (atoms, cells, neurons) and above (climate, markets as aggregate) in great depth. The scale between two or N agents interacting through an architecture is methodologically almost empty. Most of what now feels like modern subjective experience is decided on that scale. The marginal return on understanding one more electron is near zero for daily life; the marginal return on formalising one previously unmodelled inter-agent mechanism is large.

Modeling under observer effects

Modeling agents perturbs them. Publishing the model of σ_R changes how people ghost; publishing the platform food chain changes how creators read their own role. This is real. It is not grounds to refuse the work. Impossibility has facets, and each facet allows a different attack.

  1. Information-theoretic. Capturing the full state would need infinite data. Attack: reduce to a sufficient statistic. Cartel or Schumpeter separates two regimes that look identical under any concentration index by reading a single eigenvector asymmetry.
  2. Reflexive. The model perturbs the system being modeled. Attack: publish the model together with the architectural change that defines the new equilibrium. Ghosting Isn't Cowardice proposes Hinge's "Your Turn" as exactly that move.
  3. Conceptual. No agreed-upon target object exists. Attack: show that the missing scalar ground truth was never the right object. Personality Is Not Who You Are argues "personality" is a cost tensor under a context operator.

Status: working draft, written in conversation with the corpus. Will be hardened into a standalone essay (sources/research-program.tex) once the framing stabilizes.

Publications

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Topics

Tools & Playgrounds

2

statiq Alpha

interactive statistical distribution explorer

Desktop · Web

Live PDF / PMF and CDF plots for the most-used probability distributions, with sliders for every parameter. Four operations: probability, quantile, random sample, and an inverse solver for any unknown parameter. The web version covers 17 distributions; the desktop app for macOS has all 32.

Alpha. Some edge cases in the parameter solver, occasional axis-scaling quirks, no Windows or Linux launcher yet.

Try online → Download for Mac Source on GitHub

Burnout — Four Mechanisms Web

live form of every figure from the unified paper

Canvas

Four panels for the four mechanisms: observer-relative accounting (ρᴾ vs ρᶠ), hedonic decay (m(t) → ρᴾ(t)), population sigmoid B(t) for heterogeneous drift and threshold, and Charnov's Marginal Value Theorem for the when to quit question (u(t*) = A(t*)).

Open playground → Paper PDF Source figures

Visual

tier-list posters · click to enlarge